This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 67% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points shortwon 60%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 67% to break even | 44%–87% | 3 points betterwon 70%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 67% to break even | 46%–83% | evenwon 67%, needs 67% |
| This season | 7 of 978%needs 67% to break even | 50%–92% | 11 points betterwon 78%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 27 of 3871%needs 67% to break even | 58%–81% | 4 points betterwon 71%, needs 67% |
| Every game | 34 of 4772%needs 67% to break even | 61%–82% | 6 points betterwon 72%, needs 67% |
Tonight VAL plays at home, as the underdog, against VIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
VAL goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalValencia · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, VAL gamesValencia · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | VAL goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | GIR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | MLL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | OVI | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | MLL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | GIR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 30 | OVI | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 11 of 38· last season29%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -21.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalValencia · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +539at Polymarket | 5 of 38· last season13%needs 16% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 22 of 38· last season58%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -11.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, VAL gamesValencia · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 34% to break even | -12.8Not beating its price |
| VAL to win moneylineValencia · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +240at BetRivers | 13 of 38· last season34%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| VAL +0.5 spreadValencia · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | -135at BetUS | 23 of 38· last season61%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, VAL gamesValencia · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 16 of 38· last season42%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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