This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 42% to break even | 5%–56% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 42% to break even | 13%–56% | 12 points shortwon 30%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 42% to break even | 13%–48% | 15 points shortwon 27%, needs 42% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 42% to break even | 10%–59% | 13 points shortwon 29%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 14 of 3837%needs 42% to break even | 25%–50% | 5 points shortwon 37%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 16 of 4536%needs 42% to break even | 25%–48% | 6 points shortwon 36%, needs 42% |
Tonight NEW plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CRY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against new to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, NEW gamesNewcastle United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | WHU | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | WOL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | BUR | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | BUR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | WHU | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | WOL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 4 of 7· this season57%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, NEW gamesNewcastle United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -165at BetRivers | 24 of 38· last season63%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalNewcastle United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -109at Polymarket | 21 of 38· last season55%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, NEW gamesNewcastle United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +150at BetUS | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalNewcastle United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -109at Polymarket | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, NEW gamesNewcastle United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -172at Polymarket | 25 of 38· last season66%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.9Not beating its price |
| NEW 0 spreadNewcastle United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | LVG-136at LowVig | 14 of 31· last season45%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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