This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 49% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 49% to break even | 35%–81% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 49% to break even | 22%–61% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 49% to break even | 41%–90% | 23 points betterwon 71%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 21 of 3855%needs 49% to break even | 42%–68% | 6 points betterwon 55%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 26 of 4558%needs 49% to break even | 46%–69% | 9 points betterwon 58%, needs 49% |
Tonight EVE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ARS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, EVE gamesEverton · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVE +1 spreadEverton · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | WHU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | BUR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | WOL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | BUR | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | WHU | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | WOL | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 54% to break even |
| -27.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 23 of 30· last season77%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 7.8Good |
| EVE to win moneylineEverton · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +770at Polymarket | 13 of 38· last season34%needs 11% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.0Not beating its price |
| EVE +1.5 spreadEverton · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -151at Polymarket | 31 of 38· last season82%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalEverton · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +1809at Polymarket | 5 of 38· last season13%needs 5% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalEverton · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -116at Kalshi | 28 of 38· last season74%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalEverton · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -2990at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 97% to break even | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalEverton · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -101at Polymarket | 10 of 38· last season26%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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