This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 5% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 5% to break even | 0%–35% | 5 points shortwon 0%, needs 5% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 5% to break even | 0%–21% | 5 points shortwon 0%, needs 5% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 5% to break even | 5%–33% | 8 points betterwon 13%, needs 5% |
| This season | 0 of 70%needs 5% to break even | 0%–28% | 5 points shortwon 0%, needs 5% |
| Last season | 5 of 3813%needs 5% to break even | 7%–25% | 8 points betterwon 13%, needs 5% |
| Every game | 5 of 4511%needs 5% to break even | 6%–21% | 6 points betterwon 11%, needs 5% |
Tonight EVE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ARS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
EVE goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 team totalEverton · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVE +1 spreadEverton · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | EVE goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | WHU | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | BUR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | WOL | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | BUR | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | WHU | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | WOL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 10 of 38· last season26%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -34.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalEverton · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | -3084at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 97% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 23 of 30· last season77%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 7.8Good |
| EVE to win moneylineEverton · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | +770at Polymarket | 13 of 38· last season34%needs 11% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.0Not beating its price |
| EVE +1.5 spreadEverton · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | -151at Polymarket | 31 of 38· last season82%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, EVE gamesEverton · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | +105at BetUS | 21 of 38· last season55%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, EVE gamesEverton · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | -118at Bovada | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 54% to break even | -27.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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