This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 64% to break even | 14%–73% | 24 points shortwon 40%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 64% to break even | 44%–87% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 64% to break even | 46%–83% | 3 points betterwon 67%, needs 64% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 64% to break even | 29%–81% | 7 points shortwon 57%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 22 of 3858%needs 64% to break even | 45%–70% | 6 points shortwon 58%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 26 of 4558%needs 64% to break even | 46%–69% | 6 points shortwon 58%, needs 64% |
Tonight BOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MAN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, BOU gamesBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOU +0.5 spreadBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | BUR | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | WHU | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | WOL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | BUR | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | WHU | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | WOL | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 15 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 21 of 38· last season55%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -25.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, BOU gamesBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +159at Kalshi | 16 of 38· last season42%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 31 of 38· last season82%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +169at Polymarket | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| BOU to win moneylineBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | PIN+265at Pinnacle | 13 of 38· last season34%needs 27% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -195at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 66% to break even | -31.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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