This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 53% to break even | 59%–92% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 53% to break even | 29%–81% | 4 points betterwon 57%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 31 of 3882%needs 53% to break even | 69%–90% | 29 points betterwon 82%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 35 of 4578%needs 53% to break even | 66%–86% | 25 points betterwon 78%, needs 53% |
Tonight BOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MAN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against bou +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -0.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | BUR | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | WHU | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | WOL | 2 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | BUR | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | WHU | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | WOL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 15 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 20 of 38· last season53%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -9.2Not beating its price |
| BOU to win moneylineBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | PIN+265at Pinnacle | 13 of 38· last season34%needs 27% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, BOU gamesBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +137at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, BOU gamesBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +159at Kalshi | 16 of 38· last season42%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, BOU gamesBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -179at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 64% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, BOU gamesBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -158at Polymarket | 21 of 38· last season55%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalBournemouth · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -195at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 66% to break even | -31.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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