This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 31% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 31% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points betterwon 40%, needs 31% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 729%needs 31% to break even | 10%–59% | 2 points shortwon 29%, needs 31% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 729%needs 31% to break even | 10%–59% | 2 points shortwon 29%, needs 31% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 31% to break even | 10%–59% | 2 points shortwon 29%, needs 31% |
| Every game | 2 of 729%needs 31% to break even | 10%–59% | 2 points shortwon 29%, needs 31% |
Tonight COV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against FUL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against cov to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, COV gamesCoventry City · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET |
| -1 |
| -1.5 |
| Lost |
| Aug 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 21 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even |
| -6.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalCoventry City · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | -187at Polymarket | 6 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped86%needs 65% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, COV gamesCoventry City · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | LVG-131at LowVig | 4 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped57%needs 57% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, COV gamesCoventry City · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | +116at Polymarket | 3 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped43%needs 46% to break even | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalCoventry City · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | +155at Polymarket | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 39% to break even | -20.6Not beating its price |
| COV +0.5 spreadCoventry City · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | LVG-154at LowVig | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 61% to break even | -28.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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