This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 14% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 14% to break even | 0%–35% | 14 points shortwon 0%, needs 14% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 14% to break even | 7%–46% | 6 points betterwon 20%, needs 14% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 14% to break even | 8%–41% | 6 points betterwon 20%, needs 14% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 14% to break even | 0%–31% | 14 points shortwon 0%, needs 14% |
| Last season | 9 of 3426%needs 14% to break even | 16%–40% | 13 points betterwon 26%, needs 14% |
| Every game | 9 of 4023%needs 14% to break even | 14%–35% | 9 points betterwon 23%, needs 14% |
Tonight BMG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against VFB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against bmg to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | WOB | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | HDH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | STP | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | WOB | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | HDH | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | STP | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.