This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 46% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 46% to break even | 22%–61% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 46% to break even | 12%–65% | 12 points shortwon 33%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 12 of 3435%needs 46% to break even | 23%–49% | 10 points shortwon 35%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 14 of 4035%needs 46% to break even | 24%–48% | 11 points shortwon 35%, needs 46% |
Tonight DOR plays at home, as the favorite, against SGE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against dor -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, DOR gamesBorussia Dortmund · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 13 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | WOB | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 | HDH | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | STP | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | WOB | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | HDH | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | STP | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| 23 of 34· last season68%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalBorussia Dortmund · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 game total, DOR gamesBorussia Dortmund · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 8 of 34· last season24%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.8Not beating its price |
| DOR to win moneylineBorussia Dortmund · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | PIN-209at Pinnacle | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 68% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalBorussia Dortmund · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, DOR gamesBorussia Dortmund · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | PIN-107at Pinnacle | 11 of 34· last season32%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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