This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 944%needs 49% to break even | 22%–70% | 4 points shortwon 44%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1242%needs 49% to break even | 22%–64% | 7 points shortwon 42%, needs 49% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 49% to break even | 12%–65% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 18 of 2767%needs 49% to break even | 51%–79% | 18 points betterwon 67%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 20 of 3361%needs 49% to break even | 46%–73% | 12 points betterwon 61%, needs 49% |
Tonight TSG plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against B04. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tsg 0, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSG to win moneylineTSG Hoffenheim · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| May 2 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | WOB | 0 | 0 | Tie |
| Mar 7 | HDH | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Feb 28 | STP | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 14 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 13 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | WOB | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 25 | HDH | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Oct 19 | STP | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 3 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 20 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| 18 of 34· last season53%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, TSG gamesTSG Hoffenheim · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | PIN+100at Pinnacle | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, TSG gamesTSG Hoffenheim · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | PIN-112at Pinnacle | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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