This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 36% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 36% to break even | 17%–54% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 36% to break even | 12%–65% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 18 of 3453%needs 36% to break even | 39%–66% | 17 points betterwon 53%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 20 of 4050%needs 36% to break even | 37%–63% | 14 points betterwon 50%, needs 36% |
Tonight TSG plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against B04. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tsg to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, TSG gamesTSG Hoffenheim · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | WOB | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | HDH | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | STP | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | WOB | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | HDH | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | STP | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 17 of 34· last season50%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.4Not beating its price |
| TSG 0 spreadTSG Hoffenheim · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | LVG+105at LowVig | 18 of 27· last season67%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, TSG gamesTSG Hoffenheim · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | PIN-112at Pinnacle | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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