This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 7% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 7% to break even | 5%–56% | 13 points betterwon 20%, needs 7% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 7% to break even | 2%–35% | 3 points betterwon 10%, needs 7% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 7% to break even | 5%–33% | 6 points betterwon 13%, needs 7% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 7% to break even | 4%–50% | 9 points betterwon 17%, needs 7% |
| Last season | 3 of 349%needs 7% to break even | 4%–20% | 1 points betterwon 9%, needs 7% |
| Every game | 4 of 4010%needs 7% to break even | 5%–21% | 3 points betterwon 10%, needs 7% |
Tonight RBL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
RBL goals in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 team totalRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 game total, RBL gamesRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | RBL goals | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | STP | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | WOB | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | STP | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | HDH | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | WOB | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | HDH | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 31 of 34· last season91%needs 96% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -29.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -114at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -31.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even |
| -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, RBL gamesRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -129at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 56% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
| RBL -1.5 spreadRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | PIN+114at Pinnacle | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 47% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, RBL gamesRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | LVG+114at LowVig | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 game total, RBL gamesRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -195at Polymarket | 27 of 34· last season79%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
| RBL to win moneylineRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | PIN-212at Pinnacle | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 68% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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