This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 68% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 68% to break even | 14%–73% | 28 points shortwon 40%, needs 68% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 68% to break even | 27%–73% | 18 points shortwon 50%, needs 68% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 68% to break even | 39%–78% | 8 points shortwon 60%, needs 68% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 68% to break even | 22%–78% | 18 points shortwon 50%, needs 68% |
| Last season | 20 of 3459%needs 68% to break even | 45%–72% | 9 points shortwon 59%, needs 68% |
| Every game | 23 of 4057%needs 68% to break even | 45%–69% | 10 points shortwon 57%, needs 68% |
Tonight RBL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against rbl to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 team totalRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | STP | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 2 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | WOB | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | STP | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | HDH | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | WOB | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | HDH | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 7% to break even |
| -3.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -109at Polymarket | 26 of 34· last season76%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 game total, RBL gamesRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | +169at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, RBL gamesRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -129at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 56% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, RBL gamesRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | +119at Kalshi | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
| RBL -1.5 spreadRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | PIN+114at Pinnacle | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 47% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 game total, RBL gamesRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -195at Polymarket | 27 of 34· last season79%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -2580at Kalshi | 31 of 34· last season91%needs 96% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalRB Leipzig · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -114at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -31.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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