Each of this player's bets replayed over their recent games, strongest first. Red means it has won less often than its price needs.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 completionsMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Teammates' bets that have won much more often in the games Geno Smith's bet won. Useful when building a parlay from one game; it says nothing about why.
Averages over recent windows. A window reaches back into last season when this season has fewer games.
| Window | Games | Snap % | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 100 | 20.6 | 30.6 | 224.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 96.4 | 18.9 | 27.2 | 199.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 4.1 |
| This season | 6 | 100 | 20.3 | 29.5 | 222.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 7 |
| Last season | 15 | 96.5 | 20.1 | 29.9 | 201.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 7.3 |
Snap %: playing time: minutes played (nhl: time on ice, in minutes; nfl: share of the offense's snaps, %) · Cmp: completions · Att: pass attempts · Pass yds: passing yards · Pass TD: passing touchdowns · INT: interceptions thrown · Car: carries (rushing attempts) · Rush yds: rushing yards
What MIA's defense has given up to quarterbacks, against the rest of the league.
| Stat | MIA allows a game | Rank | Average defense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yardsto quarterbacks | 226 | 12th fewestof 32 | 235.4 |
| Passing TDsto quarterbacks | 2.2 | 5th mostof 32, an easy matchup | 1.5 |
| Completionsto quarterbacks | 22.2 | 12th mostof 32 | 21.5 |
| Rushing yardsto quarterbacks | 9.8 | 6th fewestof 32, a tough matchup | 17.2 |
Per game over 5 games, this season. “Most” means this defense gives up more than most.
| Joe Burrow |
| 190 |
| 190 |
| Wk 4 | Kyler Murray | 247 | 247 |
| Wk 3 | Patrick Mahomes | 246 | 246 |
| Wk 2 | Brock Purdy | 287 | 287 |
| Wk 1 | Kirk Cousins | 160 | 160 |
| Wk 18last season | Drake Maye | 191 | 214 |
| Wk 17last season | Baker Mayfield | 346 | 346 |
| Wk 16last season | Joe Burrow | 309 | 313 |
| Wk 15last season | Aaron Rodgers | 224 | 224 |
| Wk 14last season | Brady Cook | 163 | 169 |
| -7.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 57% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Under 199.5 passing yardsMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last season53%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 rushing yardsMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 64% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 rushing yardsMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 pass attemptsMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
| Over 249.5 passing yardsMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 37% to break even | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 pass attemptsMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even | -21.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 passing TDsMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 completionsMIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.8Not beating its price |
Per-game averages in different kinds of games, this season and last, with the row that matches the next game (vs MIA) marked. Few games in a row means it can swing a lot.
| Which games | Played | Snap % | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every game | 21 | 97.5 | 20.2 | 29.8 | 207.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 7.2 |
| HomeNext game | 10 | 96.4 | 21.8 | 33.2 | 199.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 10.8 |
| Away | 11 | 98.5 | 18.7 | 26.6 | 214.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 3.9 |
This season and last, newest first.
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