Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Odds (Nov 9): Spread, Total & Trends

The Daily Hit

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Odds (Nov 9): Spread, Total & Trends · The Daily Hit

NBAToday 8:40 PM ET

Away

Denver Nuggets

26% to win · best +285

Home

Houston Rockets

74% to win · best -295

SpreadTotalTo win

DEN+8.5+104NVO 217.5-102NV+285NV

HOU-8.5-110

U 217.5-102LVG

Books

26%74%

Polymarket

26%75%

Kalshi

27%74%

Average

26%74%

DEN +8.5 spread: Denver Nuggets can lose by up to 8 points and the bet still winsO 217.5 total: wins if the two teams score 218 or more points combined-295 bet $295 to win $100+285 bet $100 to win $285The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →

Prices

Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean

Book	Moneyline		Spread		Total
Book	DEN	HOU	DEN +8.5	HOU -8.5	O 217.5	U 217.5
Chance it wins	26.0%fair odds +285	74.0%fair odds -285	48.6%fair odds +106	51.4%fair odds -106	50.2%fair odds -101	49.8%fair odds +101
Edge at the best price	0.0%Slightly good	-0.9%Normal	0.0%Normal	-2.7%Normal	-0.6%Normal	-1.4%Normal
NV

Before you bet

Who's hurt, rest, the weather, form and how the two teams match up. Injuries can change up to game time.

Toyota Center (Houston) · Houston, TX

DENAway · 5-3 overall · 2-1 on the roadTied for 8th in the Western Conference

Last 5: WWLWW
Rest: 1 day off
Injuries: 5 listed

Cameron Johnsonstarting SF	F	Day-To-Day	Lower Body · back ~Nov 9
Christian Braunstarting SG	G	Day-To-Day	Left Calf · back ~Nov 9
Jamal Murraystarting PG	G	Day-To-Day	Left Lower Leg · back ~Nov 9
Aaron Gordonstarting PF	F	Day-To-Day	Lower Body · back ~Nov 9
DeMar DeRozan	G	Day-To-Day	Back · back ~Nov 9

HOUHome · 7-3 overall · 4-1 at homeTied for 8th in the Western Conference

Last 5: LWWLL
Rest: 1 day off
Injuries: 2 listed, 2 out

Clint Capela	C	Out	Right Ankle · back ~Nov 11
Steven Adams	C	Out	Right Calf · back ~Nov 11

When DEN has the ball

This season	DEN offense	HOU defense
Points a game	115.313th most	107.0 allowed5th fewest
Shooting %	48.5%3rd highest	45.8% allowed15th highest
3-point shooting %	36.0%10th highest	31.6% allowed2nd lowest
Turnovers a game	13.6 lost7th fewest	15.5 forced14th most

When HOU has the ball

This season	HOU offense	DEN defense
Points a game	116.011th most	113.1 allowed14th fewest
Shooting %	47.9%4th highest	46.5% allowed11th highest
3-point shooting %	37.6%7th highest

Last time they met DEN beat HOU 129–93 · Mar 11 · last season

Team	1	2	3	4	Final
HOU	20	27	22	24	93
DEN	24	29	40	36	129

Before you bet

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Trends

Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend counts every recent game, whoever the opponent, and some are luck.

Every trend in this game

Team trends

Quarters & halves

Player trends

Bets not beating their price they've won less often than their price needs; the 20 closest

Trends

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Prediction markets

On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.

PolymarketTrade ↗

DEN25.5%

HOU74.5%

$2,800 available at this price$19,100 available at this price

HOU 62.5% → 74.5% today$168K traded · HOU win chance, last 24 hours
$168K traded today · $188K in open orders

PolymarketTrade ↗

DEN25.5%

HOU74.5%

$168K traded · HOU win chance, last 24 hours
$168K traded today · $188K in open orders

KalshiTrade ↗

DEN26.5%

HOU73.5%

$25,400 available at this price$38 available at this price

HOU 62.2% → 73.5% todayabout $95K traded · HOU win chance, last 24 hours
about $92K traded today

KalshiTrade ↗

DEN26.5%

HOU73.5%

about $95K traded · HOU win chance, last 24 hours
about $92K traded today

Every number

Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.

Spread

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
HOU -3.5	66% chance	-214	DEN +3.5+190
HOU -4.5	64% chance	-195	DEN +4.5+170
HOU -5.5	61% chance	-164	DEN +5.5+150
HOU -6.5	58% chance	-145	DEN +6.5+130
HOU -7.5	56% chance	-132	DEN +7.5+116
HOU -8.5Most books' number	52% chance	-110	DEN +8.5NV+104
HOU -9.5	48% chance	+103	DEN +9.5-119
HOU -10.5	44% chance	+120	DEN +10.5-134
HOU -12.5	38% chance	+160	DEN +12.5-179

Total

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
Over 212.5	65% chance	-164	Under 212.5+177
Over 214.5	62% chance	-132	Under 214.5+149

Sharp money

Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.

Money tradedabout $262K

$168K traded

about $94K traded

Riding on it now$250Kpaid out when the game ends

Sharp money, last 24 hours$5,8001 trade of $5,000 or more

"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works


HOU to win	$5,800	at 74¢ (-285)	Polymarket	See who, with Pro

More season numbers side by side

This season	DEN	HOU
Rebounds a game	42.811th fewest	44.014th most
Offensive rebounds a game	10.66th fewest	12.910th most
Assists a game	27.86th most	26.812th most
Steals a game	9.96th most	8.910th most
Blocks a game	3.52nd fewest	6.15th most
Free throws made a game	21.67th most	20.910th most
Streak	Won last 2	Lost last 2
Last ten games	5-3	7-3

Bet	How often it won	Trend score
Game line · Total See the bet with Pro	9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 50% to break even	-1.2Not beating its price
Game line · Team total See the bet with Pro	10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even	-1.9Not beating its price
Game line · Spread See the bet with Pro	10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 49% to break even	-2.0Not beating its price
Game line · Total See the bet with Pro	8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 50% to break even	-2.4Not beating its price

Bet	How often it won	Trend score
Game line · 1st half team total See the bet with Pro	12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even	2.6Slight
Game line · 1st half spread See the bet with Pro	10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 39% to break even	2.0Slight
Game line · 1st quarter spread See the bet with Pro	10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 36% to break even	1.8Slight
Game line · 1st quarter total See the bet with Pro	10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 44% to break even	0.8Slight

Bet	How often it won	Trend score
Player prop · PointsHOU See the bet with Pro	12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 57% to break even	0.9Slight
Player prop · Pts + reb + astHOU See the bet with Pro	9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 47% to break even	0.7Slight
Player prop · Pts + rebHOU See the bet with Pro	12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even	0.7Slight
Player prop · Pts + reb + astHOU See the bet with Pro	7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 38% to break even	0.5Slight

Pro

See the bets behind these records with Pro.

The side, the number, the best price, every game behind it and the same bet at other numbers. $4.99 a month, cancel any time.

Unlock every trend

Bet	How often it won	Trend score
Player prop · Triple-doubleDEN See the bet with Pro	5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 33% to break even	-0.4Not beating its price
Player prop · ReboundsHOU See the bet with Pro	8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 56% to break even	-0.8Not beating its price
Player prop · Pts + reb + astDEN See the bet with Pro	3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 34% to break even	-0.8Not beating its price
Player prop · ThreesHOU See the bet with Pro	8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 58% to break even	-1.0Not beating its price

Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets

Prices