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Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors
SpreadTotalTo win
MIA––+129
GS––-183PolymarketNo market
Kalshi39%61%
+6.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 6 and the bet still winsO 224.5 total: wins if the two teams score 225 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Prices
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
| Book | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|
| MIA | GS | |
| Chance it wins | 39.3%fair odds +154 | 60.7%fair odds -154 |
| Edge at the best price | -10.0%Poor price | -6.2%Poor price |
| Kalshi | +129 | -183 |
Vig at the best pricesto win 7.7%Cheapest books →
Before you bet
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Prediction markets
On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
PolymarketKalshiTrade ↗MIA39.3%GS60.7%Sharp money
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
