+6.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 6 and the bet still winsO 224.5 total: wins if the two teams score 225 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
| Book | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|
| IND | MIL | |
| Chance it wins | 62.0%fair odds -163 | 38.0%fair odds +163 |
| Edge at the best price | -1.9%Normal | -4.3%Normal |
| Kalshi | -183 | +152 |
| Polymarket | -172 | |
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
Vig at the best pricesto win 2.8%Cheapest books →
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Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend counts every recent game, whoever the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL to win moneylineMilwaukee Bucks | +152at Kalshi | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 40% to break even19 of 42 at home | |||
| IND to win moneylineIndiana Pacers | -172at Polymarket | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 63% to break even9 of 42 on the road |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -27.5Not beating its price |
| -43.5Not beating its price |
Who's hurt, rest, the weather, form and how the two teams match up. Injuries can change up to game time.
| T.J. McConnell | G | Out | Right Hamstring · back ~Oct 26 |
| Ben Sheppard | G | Out | Left Knee · back ~Dec 1 |
| Johnny Furphy | G | Out | Right Knee · back ~Jan 2 |
| Aaron Nesmithstarting SF | G | Day-To-Day | Left Hamstring · back ~Oct 25 |
No one on the injury report.
| This season | IND | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| Streak | Lost last game | Lost last 3 |
| Points against | 120.5 | 129.0 |
| Last ten games | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Points per game | 114.0 | 118.0 |
| Field goal % | 48% | 49% |
| Three point % | 26% | 41% |
| Rebounds per game | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Assists per game | 28.0 | 28.5 |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 34 | 31 | 31 | 27 | 123 |
| MIL | 26 | 36 | 40 | 32 | 134 |
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