+1.5 spread: that team can lose by 1 run and the bet still winsO 8.5 total: wins if the two teams score 9 or more runs combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
| -145 |
| +126 |
| +126 |
| -164 |
| -114 |
| -114 |
| Kalshi | -154 | +124 | – | – | – | – |
Vig at the best pricesspread 6.0% · total 6.1% · to win 3.3%Cheapest books →
| $5,485 | at 58¢ (-138) | Kalshi | Not shown | ||
| $19,710 | at 58¢ (-138) | Kalshi | Not shown | ||
| $6,406 | at 58¢ (-138) | Kalshi | Not shown |
Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend counts every recent game, whoever the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price with Pro | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 59% to break even | 4.3Good |
See the bets behind these records with Pro.
The side, the number, the best price, every game behind it and the same bet at other numbers. $4.99 a month, cancel any time.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price with Pro | 91 of 171· last season53%needs 40% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price | ||
| Price with Pro | 122 of 174· this season70%needs 62% to break even | -5.8Not beating its price | ||
| Price with Pro | 83 of 162· last season51%needs 40% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price | ||
| Price with Pro | 49 of 174· this season28%needs 44% to break even | -23.9Not beating its price |
See the bets behind these records with Pro.
The side, the number, the best price, every game behind it and the same bet at other numbers. $4.99 a month, cancel any time.
Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.
Who's hurt, rest, the weather, form and how the two teams match up. Injuries can change up to game time.
| Over 7.5 | 37% chance | +149 | Under 7.5-204 |
| SP |
| 60-Day-IL |
| Right Shoulder · back ~Feb 1 |
| Angel Zerpa | RP | 60-Day-IL | Left Elbow · back ~Jul 1 |
| Brian Fitzpatrick | RP | 60-Day-IL | Left Elbow · back ~Aug 1 |
| Shane McClanahanstarting pitcher | SP | Out | Left Forearm · back ~Feb 1 |
| Junior Caminerostarting 3B | 3B | Day-To-Day | Leg · back ~Oct 28 |
| Gavin Lux | LF | 60-Day-IL | Left Shoulder · back ~Oct 23 |
| Jacob Melton | LF | 60-Day-IL | Right Hamstring · back ~Feb 1 |
| Edwin Uceta | RP | 60-Day-IL | Right Shoulder · back ~Feb 1 |
| This season | MIL hitters | TB pitchers |
|---|---|---|
| Runs a game | 5.12nd most | 4.0 allowed6th fewest |
| Batting average | .258the highest | .229 against4th lowest |
| Home runs a game | 1.02nd fewest | 1.2 allowed8th most |
| Strikeouts a game | 8.5 struck out11th most | 8.2 struck out12th fewest |
| This season | TB hitters | MIL pitchers |
|---|---|---|
| Runs a game | 4.512th most | 3.8 allowed4th fewest |
| Batting average | .2582nd highest | .221 against2nd lowest |
| Home runs a game | 1.09th fewest | 1.1 allowed10th fewest |
| Strikeouts a game | 7.1 struck outthe fewest | 9.5 struck out2nd most |
Ranks out of 30 teams this season. Green: among the league's best third at it. Red: among its worst third.
| This season | MIL | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Walks a game | 4.12nd most | 3.29th fewest |
| Stolen bases a game | 1.05th most | 1.02nd most |
| Walks allowed a game | 3.211th fewest | 2.5the fewest |
| Errors a game | 0.47th fewest | 0.610th most |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| TB | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |