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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsYandy Díaz · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET |  +101at Kalshi | 86 of 150· last season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price | |
| 2 | Over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsTaylor Walls · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 64 of 93· last season69%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price | |
| 3 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsJake Bauers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price | ||
| 4 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsJackson Chourio · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 83 of 135· this season61%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.2Not beating its price | |
| 5 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsGarrett Mitchell · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +140at Kalshi | 68 of 153· this season44%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.5Not beating its price | |
| 6 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsJunior Caminero · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 99 of 172· this season58%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.6Not beating its price | |
| 7 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsWilliam Contreras · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 85 of 156· this season54%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.7Not beating its price | |
| 8 | Over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsJonny DeLuca · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 62% to break even | -11.6Not beating its price | ||
| 9 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsBrice Turang · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 92 of 158· this season58%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.6Not beating its price | |
| 10 | Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsCooper Pratt · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 46 of 82· this season56%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.6Not beating its price | |
| 11 | Under 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsJonathan Aranda · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 43% to break even | -19.2Not beating its price | ||
| 12 | Over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsJonathan Aranda · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 120 of 164· this season73%needs 63% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.9Not beating its price | |
| 13 | Under 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsGarrett Mitchell · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +146at Kalshi | 12 of 24· last season50%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price | |
| 14 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsCooper Pratt · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 36 of 82· this season44%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.6Not beating its price | |
| 15 | Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsBrice Turang · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 76 of 164· last season46%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.8Not beating its price | |
| 16 | Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsWilliam Contreras · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 77 of 159· last season48%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.5Not beating its price | |
| 17 | Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsJunior Caminero · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 75 of 155· last season48%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price | |
| 18 | Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsJackson Chourio · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 59 of 140· last season42%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.4Not beating its price | |
| 19 | Under 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsJonny DeLuca · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 42 of 116· this season36%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.2Not beating its price | |
| 20 | Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsJake Bauers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 60 of 89· last season67%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.4Not beating its price | |
| 21 | Under 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsTaylor Walls · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 45 of 130· this season35%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -32.6Not beating its price | |
| 22 | Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsYandy Díaz · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 71 of 164· this season43%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | -33.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work