This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 46% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 46% to break even | 33%–72% | 7 points betterwon 53%, needs 46% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 46% to break even | 3%–45% | 32 points shortwon 14%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 19 of 3850%needs 46% to break even | 37%–63% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 20 of 4544%needs 46% to break even | 33%–57% | 1 points shortwon 44%, needs 46% |
Tonight FIO plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against ATA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, FIO gamesFiorentina · Thu, Oct 29, 3:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIO to win moneylineFiorentina · Thu, Oct 29, 3:45 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | VER | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | CRE | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | PIS | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | CRE | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | VER | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | PIS | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 6 of 7· this season86%needs 58% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -16.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 38· last season24%needs 43% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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