This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 40% to break even | 44%–95% | 40 points betterwon 80%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 40% to break even | 44%–87% | 30 points betterwon 70%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 40% to break even | 39%–78% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 40% to break even | 55%–97% | 45 points betterwon 86%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 14 of 3837%needs 40% to break even | 25%–50% | 3 points shortwon 37%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 20 of 4544%needs 40% to break even | 33%–57% | 4 points betterwon 44%, needs 40% |
Tonight LAZ plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against laz to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAZ 0 spreadLazio · Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | PIS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | CRE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | VER | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | CRE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | PIS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | VER | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 56% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -3.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, LAZ gamesLazio · Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, LAZ gamesLazio · Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even | -22.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, LAZ gamesLazio · Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 36% to break even | -23.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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