This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 59% to break even | 14%–73% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 59% to break even | 27%–73% | 9 points shortwon 50%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 59% to break even | 39%–78% | 1 points betterwon 60%, needs 59% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 59% to break even | 29%–81% | 2 points shortwon 57%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 21 of 3855%needs 59% to break even | 42%–68% | 4 points shortwon 55%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 25 of 4556%needs 59% to break even | 43%–67% | 3 points shortwon 56%, needs 59% |
Tonight BOL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CAG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, BOL gamesBologna · Sat, Oct 24, 9:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalBologna · Sat, Oct 24, 9:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | CRE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | VER | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 2 | PIS | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | VER | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | CRE | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | PIS | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 17 of 38· last season45%needs 43% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -16.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 15 of 38· last season39%needs 41% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -19.2Not beating its price |
| BOL to win moneylineBologna · Sat, Oct 24, 9:00 AM ET | PIN+156at Pinnacle | 16 of 38· last season42%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.8Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalBologna · Sat, Oct 24, 9:00 AM ET | -199at Kalshi | 23 of 38· last season61%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
| BOL 0 spreadBologna · Sat, Oct 24, 9:00 AM ET | LVG-144at LowVig | 16 of 30· last season53%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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