This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 9 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 9 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 9 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 9 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% |
Tonight MON plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against NAP. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against mon +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, MON gamesMonza · Wed, Oct 28, 3:45 PM ET |
| 0 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Aug 29 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| 6 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped86%needs 57% to break even |
| -4.3Not beating its price |
| MON to win moneylineMonza · Wed, Oct 28, 3:45 PM ET | +280at Fanatics | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 26% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, MON gamesMonza · Wed, Oct 28, 3:45 PM ET | +116at BetUS | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 46% to break even | -24.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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