This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 52% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 52% to break even | 28%–67% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 23 of 3861%needs 52% to break even | 47%–72% | 8 points betterwon 61%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 26 of 4558%needs 52% to break even | 46%–69% | 5 points betterwon 58%, needs 52% |
Tonight NAP plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MON. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against nap to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, NAP gamesNapoli · Wed, Oct 28, 3:45 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | PIS | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | CRE | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | VER | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | VER | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | CRE | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 22 | PIS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even |
| -13.1Not beating its price |
| NAP -0.5 spreadNapoli · Wed, Oct 28, 3:45 PM ET | PIN-109at Pinnacle | 23 of 38· last season61%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, NAP gamesNapoli · Wed, Oct 28, 3:45 PM ET | PRX-134at betPARX | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.