This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 47% to break even | 27%–86% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 47% to break even | 35%–81% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 47% to break even | 33%–72% | 6 points betterwon 53%, needs 47% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 47% to break even | 41%–90% | 24 points betterwon 71%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 19 of 3850%needs 47% to break even | 37%–63% | 3 points betterwon 50%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 24 of 4553%needs 47% to break even | 41%–65% | 6 points betterwon 53%, needs 47% |
Tonight CAG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ROMA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, CAG gamesCagliari · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAG to win moneylineCagliari · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | CRE | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | PIS | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | VER | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | CRE | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | PIS | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | VER | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 19 of 38· last season50%needs 58% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 10% to break even |
| 16.4Very strong |
| CAG +1.5 spreadCagliari · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET | PIN-119at Pinnacle | 29 of 38· last season76%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.5Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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