This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 20% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 20% to break even | 27%–86% | 40 points betterwon 60%, needs 20% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 20% to break even | 19%–65% | 20 points betterwon 40%, needs 20% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 20% to break even | 22%–61% | 20 points betterwon 40%, needs 20% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 20% to break even | 19%–71% | 22 points betterwon 43%, needs 20% |
| Last season | 12 of 3832%needs 20% to break even | 21%–45% | 11 points betterwon 32%, needs 20% |
| Every game | 15 of 4533%needs 20% to break even | 23%–46% | 13 points betterwon 33%, needs 20% |
Tonight TOR plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against COMO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tor to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +0.5 spreadTorino · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | CRE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | VER | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | PIS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | VER | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | CRE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | PIS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 25 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 49% to break even |
| -8.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, TOR gamesTorino · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, TOR gamesTorino · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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