This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 250%needs 50% to break even | 12%–88% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 743%needs 50% to break even | 19%–71% | 7 points shortwon 43%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1030%needs 50% to break even | 13%–56% | 20 points shortwon 30%, needs 50% |
| This season | 2 of 450%needs 50% to break even | 18%–82% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 5 of 2917%needs 50% to break even | 9%–31% | 32 points shortwon 17%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 7 of 3321%needs 50% to break even | 12%–35% | 28 points shortwon 21%, needs 50% |
Tonight LEC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against FRO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3 game total, LEC gamesLecce · Thu, Oct 29, 1:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEC to win moneylineLecce · Thu, Oct 29, 1:30 PM ET |
| Opponent |
|---|
| Total goals |
|---|
| Beat 3 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 13 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| May 9 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 1 | PIS | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Apr 25 | VER | 0 | -3 | Lost |
| Apr 20 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 8 | CRE | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Feb 28 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 16 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 6 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 12 | PIS | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | CRE | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | VER | 0 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 14 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| 24 of 29· last season83%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -9.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 26% to break even |
| -5.8Not beating its price |
| LEC +0.5 spreadLecce · Thu, Oct 29, 1:30 PM ET | PIN-113at Pinnacle | 18 of 38· last season47%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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