This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 33% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 33% to break even | 5%–56% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 33% to break even | 7%–46% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 33% to break even | 13%–48% | 7 points shortwon 27%, needs 33% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 33% to break even | 3%–45% | 19 points shortwon 14%, needs 33% |
| Last season | 11 of 3829%needs 33% to break even | 19%–42% | 4 points shortwon 29%, needs 33% |
| Every game | 12 of 4527%needs 33% to break even | 17%–39% | 7 points shortwon 27%, needs 33% |
Tonight PAR plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against UDI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against par to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParma · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | PIS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | CRE | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | VER | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | PIS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | VER | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | CRE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even |
| -17.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParma · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET | -140at Bovada | 27 of 38· last season71%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
| PAR 0 spreadParma · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET | +113at BetOnline | 11 of 26· last season42%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.