This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 50% to break even | 5%–56% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 50% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 50% to break even | 10%–59% | 22 points shortwon 29%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 21 of 3855%needs 50% to break even | 42%–68% | 5 points betterwon 55%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 23 of 4551%needs 50% to break even | 39%–63% | 1 points betterwon 51%, needs 50% |
Tonight UDI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | CRE | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | VER | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | PIS | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | CRE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | PIS | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 25 | VER | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, UDI gamesUdinese · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | PIN-110at Pinnacle | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UDI to win moneylineUdinese · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | +440at Bovada | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 19% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.