This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 12% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 12% to break even | 5%–56% | 8 points betterwon 20%, needs 12% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 714%needs 12% to break even | 3%–45% | 3 points betterwon 14%, needs 12% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 714%needs 12% to break even | 3%–45% | 3 points betterwon 14%, needs 12% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 12% to break even | 3%–45% | 3 points betterwon 14%, needs 12% |
| Every game | 1 of 714%needs 12% to break even | 3%–45% | 3 points betterwon 14%, needs 12% |
Tonight VEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ven to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 game total, VEN gamesVenezia · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET |
| -1 |
| -1.5 |
| Lost |
| Aug 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 37% to break even |
| -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, VEN gamesVenezia · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET | +102at Bovada | 4 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped57%needs 50% to break even | -15.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, VEN gamesVenezia · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET | -120at Bally Bet | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 55% to break even | -18.8Not beating its price |
| VEN +1.5 spreadVenezia · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 49% to break even | -21.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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