This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 3% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 3% to break even | 5%–56% | 17 points betterwon 20%, needs 3% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 714%needs 3% to break even | 3%–45% | 11 points betterwon 14%, needs 3% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 714%needs 3% to break even | 3%–45% | 11 points betterwon 14%, needs 3% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 3% to break even | 3%–45% | 11 points betterwon 14%, needs 3% |
| Every game | 1 of 714%needs 3% to break even | 3%–45% | 11 points betterwon 14%, needs 3% |
Tonight MON plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MON goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 team totalMonza · Today 2:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, MON gamesMonza · Today 2:45 PM ET |
| 1 |
| -2.5 |
| Lost |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 31% to break even |
| -18.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalMonza · Today 2:45 PM ET | -223at Polymarket | 3 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped43%needs 69% to break even | -30.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 team totalMonza · Today 2:45 PM ET | -4679at Polymarket | 6 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped86%needs 98% to break even | -28.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped86%needs 50% to break even |
| -0.0Not beating its price |
| MON to win moneylineMonza · Today 2:45 PM ET | PIN+252at Pinnacle | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 28% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price |
| MON +0.5 spreadMonza · Today 2:45 PM ET | -135at BetUS | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 57% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, MON gamesMonza · Today 2:45 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 50% to break even | -27.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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