This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | 7.4total goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | 7.9total goals |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 39% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | 7.9total goals |
| This season | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | 7.9total goals |
| Last season |
Tonight EDM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 19 of 49 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 game total, EDM gamesEdmonton Oilers |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 1st period totalEdmonton Oilers |
| 25%–42% |
| 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 39% |
| 6.8total goals |
| Every game | 33 of 9834%needs 39% to break even | 26%–42% | 6 points shortwon 34%, needs 39% | 6.9total goals |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | 16 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 16 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +212at Polymarket |
| 27 of 88· last season31%needs 32% to break even14 of 49 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.4Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 game total, EDM gamesEdmonton Oilers · Today 7:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 35 of 88· last season40%needs 43% to break even18 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 game total, EDM gamesEdmonton Oilers · Today 7:00 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 59 of 88· last season67%needs 64% to break even30 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -22.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -175at Kalshi |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 64% to break even32 of 49 at home |
| -12.8Not beating its price |
| EDM -1.5 spreadEdmonton Oilers · Today 7:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even17 of 49 at home | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 team totalEdmonton Oilers · Today 7:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 59% to break even23 of 49 at home | -15.1Not beating its price |
| EDM -0.5 1st period spreadEdmonton Oilers · Today 7:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 43% to break even16 of 49 at home | -16.9Not beating its price |
| EDM to win moneylineEdmonton Oilers · Today 7:00 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 63% to break even27 of 49 at home | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 team totalEdmonton Oilers · Today 7:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 40% to break even15 of 49 at home | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 2nd period totalEdmonton Oilers · Today 7:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 28 of 88· last season32%needs 39% to break even12 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 team totalEdmonton Oilers · Today 7:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 66 of 88· last season75%needs 67% to break even34 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 team totalEdmonton Oilers · Today 7:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 46% to break even26 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 1st period totalEdmonton Oilers · Today 7:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 35 of 88· last season40%needs 43% to break even17 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -26.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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