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NHLGame lineTotal
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Utah Mammoth: over 5.5
Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price-164Polymarket
Price needs62.1%wins to break even
Every game57 of 98this season and last
Trend score-9.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 62% to break even | 44%–95% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 62% to break even | 54%–93% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 62% to break even | 59%–92% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| This season | 8 of 1080%needs 62% to break even | 54%–93% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 49 of 8856%needs 62% to break even | 47%–64% | 6 points shortwon 56%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 57 of 9858%needs 62% to break even | 50%–66% | 4 points shortwon 58%, needs 62% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Tampa Bay Lightning @ Utah Mammoth: over 5.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 |  PIT | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 17 |  EDM | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 15 | EDM | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 13 |  TOR | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  BUF | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 8 |  BOS | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 6 |  NJ | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  NYR | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  CBJ | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 1 |  CHI | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 |  VGK | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 29 | VGK | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | VGK | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | VGK | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | VGK | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | VGK | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 16 |  STL | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 14 |  WPG | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  CGY | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 |  CAR | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  NSH | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | EDM | 11 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 |  VAN | 11 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 |  SEA | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 |  LA | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 26 |  WSH | 11 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 24 | EDM | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 | LA | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  ANA | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 | VGK | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 |  DAL | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | PIT | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 | CHI | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  MIN | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 9 | CHI | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | CBJ | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  PHI | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | WSH | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | CHI | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 27 | MIN | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 25 |  COL | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 |  DET | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 | VAN | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | DAL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | CAR | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 |  FLA | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 |  TB | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | NSH | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 | PHI | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | SEA | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | DAL | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | TOR | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | CBJ | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 | STL | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 |  OTT | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | NYR | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | NJ | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 |  NYI | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | NSH | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | COL | 1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | WPG | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 | NJ | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 17 | DET | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 16 | BOS | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | PIT | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | SEA | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 10 | FLA | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 8 | LA | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | CGY | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | VAN | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | ANA | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 |  SJ | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | STL | 1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | DAL | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 |  MTL | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | VGK | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | NYR | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | VGK | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | SJ | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | ANA | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | NYI | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | BUF | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | OTT | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | MTL | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | TOR | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | BUF | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | TB | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | EDM | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | WPG | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | MIN | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 23 | STL | 11 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 | COL | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | BOS | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | SJ | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 15 | CGY | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 13 | CHI | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | NSH | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 9 | COL | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Mammoth · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |  +126at Polymarket | 39 of 88· last season44%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Utah Mammoth in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH to win moneylineUtah Mammoth · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 56% to break even | -13.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.