This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 60% to break even | 44%–95% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 60% to break even | 44%–87% | 10 points betterwon 70%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 60% to break even | 39%–78% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% |
| This season | 8 of 1173%needs 60% to break even | 48%–89% | 13 points betterwon 73%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 47 of 8853%needs 60% to break even | 45%–62% | 7 points shortwon 53%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 55 of 9956%needs 60% to break even | 47%–64% | 5 points shortwon 56%, needs 60% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against SJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against bos to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 2 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 8 | +8 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Bruins · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even | -6.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 5.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Bruins · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 38 of 88· last season43%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Bruins · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 50 of 88· last season57%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Bruins · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 44 of 88· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.