This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 34% to break even | 5%–56% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% | won by 0.6goals |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 34% to break even | 2%–35% | 24 points shortwon 10%, needs 34% | lost by 0.1goals |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 34% to break even | 5%–33% | 21 points shortwon 13%, needs 34% | lost by 0.5goals |
| This season | 1 of 1010%needs 34% to break even | 2%–35% | 24 points shortwon 10%, needs 34% | lost by 0.1goals |
| Last season | 29 of 10129% |
Tonight MTL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WPG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 15 of 56 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against MTL -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens |
| 22%–37% |
| 5 points shortwon 29%, needs 34% |
| won by 0.2goals |
| Every game | 30 of 11127%needs 34% to break even | 21%–34% | 7 points shortwon 27%, needs 34% | won by 0.2goals |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 29 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 27 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| +121at Polymarket |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even28 of 56 on the road |
| -3.1Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 61 of 101· last season60%needs 58% to break even35 of 56 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| MTL to win moneylineMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 57 of 101· last season56%needs 55% to break even33 of 56 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 40 of 101· last season40%needs 46% to break even21 of 56 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 51 of 101· last season50%needs 59% to break even28 of 56 on the road | Record is last season's | -36.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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