This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 65% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points shortwon 60%, needs 65% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 65% to break even | 27%–73% | 15 points shortwon 50%, needs 65% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 65% to break even | 39%–78% | 5 points shortwon 60%, needs 65% |
| This season | 5 of 863%needs 65% to break even | 35%–84% | 3 points shortwon 63%, needs 65% |
| Last season | 63 of 8673%needs 65% to break even | 65%–80% | 8 points betterwon 73%, needs 65% |
| Every game | 68 of 9472%needs 65% to break even | 64%–79% | 7 points betterwon 72%, needs 65% |
Tonight LA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against NJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against la +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 26 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 16 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.