This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 64% to break even | 44%–95% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% | won by 1.4goals |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 64% to break even | 54%–93% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% | won by 1.5goals |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 64% to break even | 39%–78% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% | won by 0.7goals |
| This season | 8 of 1080%needs 64% to break even | 54%–93% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% | won by 1.5goals |
| Last season | 43 of 8849%needs 64% to break even | 40%–58% | 15 points shortwon 49%, needs 64% | won by 0.1goals |
| Every game | 51 of 9852%needs 64% to break even | 44%–60% | 12 points shortwon 52%, needs 64% | won by 0.2goals |
Tonight EDM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 27 of 49 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against EDM to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 16 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 game total, EDM gamesEdmonton Oilers · Mon, Oct 26, 9:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 29 of 88· last season33%needs 35% to break even19 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 game total, EDM gamesEdmonton Oilers · Mon, Oct 26, 9:30 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 61 of 88· last season69%needs 66% to break even35 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 game total, EDM gamesEdmonton Oilers · Mon, Oct 26, 9:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 27 of 88· last season31%needs 41% to break even14 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.