This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 39% to break even | 5%–56% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% | levelgoals |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 39% to break even | 7%–46% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% | lost by 0.2goals |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 39% to break even | 5%–33% | 25 points shortwon 13%, needs 39% | lost by 0.2goals |
| This season | 2 of 1020%needs 39% to break even | 7%–46% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% | lost by 0.2goals |
| Last season | 20 of 8224% |
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CGY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 44 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1st period margin in each game against DET -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Red Wings |
| 17%–33% |
| 14 points shortwon 24%, needs 39% |
| lost by 0.2goals |
| Every game | 22 of 9224%needs 39% to break even | 17%–32% | 15 points shortwon 24%, needs 39% | lost by 0.2goals |
| Date | Opponent | 1st period margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 2 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| +119at Kalshi |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 46% to break even20 of 44 on the road |
| -3.6Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Red Wings · Today 10:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 56% to break even25 of 44 on the road | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalDetroit Red Wings · Today 10:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 38% to break even20 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 team totalDetroit Red Wings · Today 10:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 51 of 82· last season62%needs 60% to break even29 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 team totalDetroit Red Wings · Today 10:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 31 of 82· last season38%needs 47% to break even15 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.9Not beating its price |
| DET -1.5 spreadDetroit Red Wings · Today 10:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 23 of 82· last season28%needs 37% to break even13 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Red Wings · Today 10:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 33 of 82· last season40%needs 47% to break even19 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.9Not beating its price |
| DET to win moneylineDetroit Red Wings · Today 10:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 41 of 82· last season50%needs 59% to break even21 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.7Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Red Wings · Today 10:00 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 45 of 82· last season55%needs 57% to break even24 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -34.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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