This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 37% to break even | 27%–86% | 23 points betterwon 60%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 37% to break even | 13%–56% | 7 points shortwon 30%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 37% to break even | 22%–61% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% |
| This season | 4 of 1233%needs 37% to break even | 16%–57% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 27 of 9229%needs 37% to break even | 22%–38% | 7 points shortwon 29%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 31 of 10430%needs 37% to break even | 23%–38% | 7 points shortwon 30%, needs 37% |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ANA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1P margin in each game against phi 1p -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1P margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 48% to break even |
| 11.2Strong |
| Under 3.5 team totalPhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 63% to break even | 10.7Strong |
| Under 6.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 59% to break even | 9.7Strong |
| Under 2.5 team totalPhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 41% to break even | 1.6Slight |
| Under 2.5 3rd period totalPhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -218at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 69% to break even | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 1st period totalPhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 3rd period totalPhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 25 of 92· last season27%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.8Not beating its price |
| PHI to win moneylinePhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 47 of 92· last season51%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 team totalPhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 33 of 92· last season36%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.3Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 35 of 92· last season38%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 1st period totalPhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 45 of 92· last season49%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -38.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalPhiladelphia Flyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 53 of 92· last season58%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -41.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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