This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 35% to break even | 5%–56% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% | lost by 1.6goals |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 35% to break even | 13%–56% | 5 points shortwon 30%, needs 35% | lost by 0.8goals |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 35% to break even | 17%–54% | 1 points shortwon 33%, needs 35% | lost by 0.5goals |
| This season | 3 of 1030%needs 35% to break even | 13%–56% | 5 points shortwon 30%, needs 35% | lost by 0.8goals |
| Last season | 38 of 8246%needs 35% to break even | 38%–55% | 12 points betterwon 46%, needs 35% | lost by 0.3goals |
| Every game | 41 of 9245%needs 35% to break even | 36%–53% | 10 points betterwon 45%, needs 35% | lost by 0.3goals |
Tonight NSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against COL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 22 of 45 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against NSH to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 16 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.