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NHLGame lineTotal
New York Rangers @ Ottawa Senators: under 5.5
Won10 of 15last 15 games · 67%
Best price+109Kalshi
Price needs47.8%wins to break even
Every game47 of 97this season and last
Trend score-11.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 48% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | 6total goals |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 48% to break even | 35%–81% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% | 5.6total goals |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 48% to break even | 46%–83% | 19 points betterwon 67%, needs 48% | 5.1total goals |
| This season | 7 of 1164%needs 48% to break even | 39%–82% | 16 points betterwon 64%, needs 48% | 5.5total goals |
| Last season | 40 of 8647%needs 48% to break even | 38%–55% | 1 points shortwon 47%, needs 48% | 6.3total goals |
| Every game | 47 of 9748%needs 48% to break even | 40%–57% | 1 points betterwon 48%, needs 48% | 6.2total goals |
Games like tonight
Tonight OTT plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NYR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 24 of 49 at home.
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Every book's price
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New York Rangers @ Ottawa Senators: under 5.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 |  SJ | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 |  FLA | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 |  PHI | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 15 |  NYI | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 13 |  STL | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  NJ | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  NSH | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 8 | PHI | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 6 |  DET | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  BOS | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  TOR | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 25 |  CAR | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | CAR | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 20 | CAR | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | CAR | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 15 | TOR | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 | NJ | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | NYI | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 | FLA | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  TB | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 | CAR | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 |  MIN | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 |  BUF | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 | FLA | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 | TB | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 26 |  PIT | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 24 | DET | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  NYR | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | TOR | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 | NYI | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 |  WSH | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | SJ | 11 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  ANA | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  MTL | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 9 |  VAN | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 |  SEA | 11 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 |  CGY | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 |  EDM | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | TOR | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | DET | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 | PHI | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | CAR | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 | PIT | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | NJ | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 |  COL | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  VGK | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | CAR | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | NSH | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 |  CBJ | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | DET | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | MTL | 11 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 14 | NYR | 12 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | VAN | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 | FLA | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 8 | COL | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  UTAH | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 | DET | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 |  WPG | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | WSH | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | CBJ | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | TOR | 12 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | BUF | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | BOS | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 |  CHI | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | PIT | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | WPG | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | MIN | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 | CBJ | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 9 | NJ | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | STL | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | NYR | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | MTL | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 |  DAL | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | STL | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | VGK | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 |  LA | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | SJ | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | ANA | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | LA | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 13 | BOS | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | DAL | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | UTAH | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | PHI | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 6 | BOS | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | MTL | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | CGY | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | CHI | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | BOS | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | WSH | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 23 | PHI | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 | EDM | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | NYI | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 16 | SEA | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 15 | BUF | 12 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 13 | NSH | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | FLA | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 9 | TB | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 game total, OTT gamesOttawa Senators · Today 7:00 PM ET |  -131at Kalshi | 46 of 86· last season53%needs 57% to break even25 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -30.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 game total, OTT gamesOttawa Senators · Today 7:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 40 of 86· last season47%needs 46% to break even19 of 49 at home | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Ottawa Senators in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.