This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 36% to break even | 65%–100% | 64 points betterwon 100%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 36% to break even | 65%–98% | 54 points betterwon 90%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 36% to break even | 52%–87% | 38 points betterwon 73%, needs 36% |
| This season | 5 of 5100%needs 36% to break even | 65%–100% | 64 points betterwon 100%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 17 of 5929%needs 36% to break even | 20%–39% | 7 points shortwon 29%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 22 of 6434%needs 36% to break even | 25%–45% | 1 points shortwon 34%, needs 36% |
Tonight UTAH plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Shots on goal in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Shots on goal | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 14 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsKailer Yamamoto · Today 10:10 PM ET | +4500at DraftKings | 2 of 59· last season3%needs 2% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.8Not beating its price | |
| Yes anytime goalKailer Yamamoto · Today 10:10 PM ET | +425at DraftKings | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 19% to break even | -2.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 0.5 pointsKailer Yamamoto · Today 10:10 PM ET | +140at BetRivers | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 42% to break even | -8.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.