This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 1% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 1% to break even | 0%–35% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 1% to break even | 0%–21% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 1% to break even | 0%–15% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| This season | 0 of 100%needs 1% to break even | 0%–21% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| Last season | 1 of 821%needs 1% to break even | 0%–5% | 1 points betterwon 1%, needs 1% |
| Every game |
Tonight UTAH plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Goals in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes anytime goalNate Schmidt |
| 0%–5% |
| evenwon 1%, needs 1% |
| Date | Opponent | Goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| +1300at DraftKings |
| 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 7% to break even |
| -4.5Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsNate Schmidt · Today 10:10 PM ET | -276at Kalshi | 64 of 82· last season78%needs 73% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsNate Schmidt · Today 10:10 PM ET | +280at Kalshi | 15 of 82· last season18%needs 26% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsNate Schmidt · Today 10:10 PM ET | -340at Kalshi | 67 of 82· last season82%needs 77% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsNate Schmidt · Today 10:10 PM ET | +229at Kalshi | 18 of 82· last season22%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 shots on goalNate Schmidt · Today 10:10 PM ET | +123at BetRivers | 24 of 82· last season29%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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