This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 2% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 2% to break even | 0%–35% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 2% to break even | 2%–35% | 8 points betterwon 10%, needs 2% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 2% to break even | 2%–25% | 4 points betterwon 7%, needs 2% |
| This season | 1 of 911%needs 2% to break even | 3%–38% | 9 points betterwon 11%, needs 2% |
| Last season | 0 of 770%needs 2% to break even | 0%–3% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| Every game | 1 of 861%needs 2% to break even | 0%–5% | 1 points shortwon 1%, needs 2% |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Goals in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.