This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 70% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 70% to break even | 65%–100% | 30 points betterwon 100%, needs 70% |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 70% to break even | 79%–100% | 30 points betterwon 100%, needs 70% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 70% to break even | 67%–95% | 17 points betterwon 87%, needs 70% |
| This season | 10 of 10100%needs 70% to break even | 79%–100% | 30 points betterwon 100%, needs 70% |
| Last season | 60 of 7976%needs 70% to break even | 67%–83% | 6 points betterwon 76%, needs 70% |
| Every game | 70 of 8979%needs 70% to break even | 71%–85% | 9 points betterwon 79%, needs 70% |
Tonight UTAH plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 assistsMacKenzie Weegar · Today 10:10 PM ET | +215at BetRivers | 19 of 79· last season24%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.