This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 71% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 71% to break even | 44%–95% | 9 points betterwon 80%, needs 71% | 0.2goals |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 71% to break even | 35%–81% | 11 points shortwon 60%, needs 71% | 0.4goals |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 71% to break even | 39%–78% | 11 points shortwon 60%, needs 71% | 0.4goals |
| This season | 7 of 1164%needs 71% to break even | 39%–82% | 7 points shortwon 64%, needs 71% | 0.4goals |
| Last season | 54 of 7968% |
Tonight OTT plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NYR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 33 of 46 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Goals in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 59%–76% |
| 2 points shortwon 68%, needs 71% |
| 0.4goals |
| Every game | 61 of 9068%needs 71% to break even | 59%–75% | 3 points shortwon 68%, needs 71% | 0.4goals |
| Date | Opponent | Goals | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| +189at Kalshi |
| 25 of 79· last season32%needs 35% to break even13 of 46 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -15.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 goalsDrake Batherson · Today 7:08 PM ET | +1300at DraftKings | 8 of 79· last season10%needs 7% to break even5 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 goalsDrake Batherson · Today 7:08 PM ET | +8000at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even0 of 46 at home | -1.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -141at BetRivers |
| 49 of 79· last season62%needs 59% to break even31 of 46 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsDrake Batherson · Today 7:08 PM ET | +155at BetRivers | 31 of 79· last season39%needs 39% to break even20 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Scores a goalDrake Batherson · Today 7:08 PM ET | +180at DraftKings | 25 of 79· last season32%needs 36% to break even13 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 shots on goalDrake Batherson · Today 7:08 PM ET | +141at BetOnline | 29 of 79· last season37%needs 41% to break even16 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 shots on goalDrake Batherson · Today 7:08 PM ET | -178at FanDuel | 50 of 79· last season63%needs 64% to break even30 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -21.8Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsDrake Batherson · Today 7:08 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 25 of 79· last season32%needs 33% to break even16 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsDrake Batherson · Today 7:08 PM ET | -190at DraftKings | 48 of 79· last season61%needs 66% to break even26 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsDrake Batherson · Today 7:08 PM ET | +125at BetOnline | 30 of 79· last season38%needs 44% to break even15 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -26.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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