This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 39% to break even | 35%–81% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 39% to break even | 33%–72% | 14 points betterwon 53%, needs 39% |
| This season | 6 of 1155%needs 39% to break even | 32%–76% | 15 points betterwon 55%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 30 of 8038%needs 39% to break even | 29%–47% | 2 points shortwon 38%, needs 39% |
Tonight OTT plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NYR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 16 of 46 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Tim Stützle game, newest first: whether Stützle scored a goal.
This player's other props in the game.
| Every game | 36 of 9140%needs 39% to break even | 32%–48% | evenwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 22 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 21 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 17 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 10 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 8 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 5 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 3 | No goal | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Apr 11 | No goal | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | No goal | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | Scored | Won | |
| Apr 5 | Scored | Won | |
| Apr 4 | No goal | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | Scored | Won | |
| Mar 19 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | Scored | Won | |
| Mar 15 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Scored | Won | |
| Mar 5 | Scored | Won | |
| Mar 3 | No goal | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | No goal | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | No goal | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | Scored | Won | |
| Feb 3 | Scored | Won | |
| Feb 2 | Scored | Won | |
| Jan 31 | Scored | Won | |
| Jan 28 | Scored | Won | |
| Jan 25 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | Scored | Won | |
| Jan 22 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | Scored | Won | |
| Jan 18 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | Scored | Won | |
| Jan 14 | Scored | Won | |
| Jan 13 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | Scored | Won | |
| Dec 23 | Scored | Won | |
| Dec 21 | Scored | Won | |
| Dec 20 | Scored | Won | |
| Dec 18 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | Scored | Won | |
| Dec 11 | Scored | Won | |
| Dec 9 | Scored | Won | |
| Dec 6 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | Scored | Won | |
| Nov 20 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | Scored | Won | |
| Nov 11 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | Scored | Won | |
| Nov 6 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 30 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 27 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 25 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 16 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 13 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | No goal | Lost | |
| +6500at FanDuel |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 2% to break even0 of 46 at home |
| -1.4Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 goalsTim Stützle · Today 7:08 PM ET | +1000at FanDuel | 4 of 80· last season5%needs 9% to break even2 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsTim Stützle · Today 7:08 PM ET | -106at BetRivers | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 51% to break even26 of 46 at home | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 goalsTim Stützle · Today 7:08 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 39% to break even16 of 46 at home | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 pointsTim Stützle · Today 7:08 PM ET | +200at FanDuel | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 33% to break even15 of 46 at home | -10.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 shots on goalTim Stützle · Today 7:08 PM ET | -140at DraftKings | 8 of 11· this season73%needs 58% to break even25 of 46 at home | Record is this season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsTim Stützle · Today 7:08 PM ET | -225at BetRivers | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 69% to break even30 of 46 at home | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsTim Stützle · Today 7:08 PM ET | +160at Bovada | 26 of 80· last season33%needs 38% to break even18 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsTim Stützle · Today 7:08 PM ET | +175at DraftKings | 26 of 80· last season33%needs 36% to break even16 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -24.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 shots on goalTim Stützle · Today 7:08 PM ET | +126at BetOnline | 36 of 80· last season45%needs 44% to break even21 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 pointsTim Stützle · Today 7:08 PM ET | -270at BetOnline | 56 of 80· last season70%needs 73% to break even31 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -32.7Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsTim Stützle · Today 7:08 PM ET | -125at DraftKings | 41 of 80· last season51%needs 56% to break even20 of 46 at home | Record is last season's | -35.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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