This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 25% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 25% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points betterwon 40%, needs 25% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 922%needs 25% to break even | 8%–50% | 3 points shortwon 22%, needs 25% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 922%needs 25% to break even | 8%–50% | 3 points shortwon 22%, needs 25% |
| This season | 2 of 922%needs 25% to break even | 8%–50% | 3 points shortwon 22%, needs 25% |
| Every game | 2 of 922%needs 25% to break even | 8%–50% | 3 points shortwon 22%, needs 25% |
Tonight CHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MTL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Goals in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 goalsRoman Kantserov |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 assistsRoman Kantserov |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| -381at Kalshi |
| 7 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped78%needs 79% to break even |
| -24.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -239at Kalshi |
| 9 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped100%needs 71% to break even |
| 1.2Slight |
| Under 0.5 pointsRoman Kantserov · Today 8:10 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 7 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped78%needs 52% to break even | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalRoman Kantserov · Today 8:10 PM ET | +265at BetRivers | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 27% to break even | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 shots on goalRoman Kantserov · Today 8:10 PM ET | +140at FanDuel | 5 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped56%needs 42% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsRoman Kantserov · Today 8:10 PM ET | +330at BetRivers | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 23% to break even | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 shots on goalRoman Kantserov · Today 8:10 PM ET | +173at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 37% to break even | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 power-play pointsRoman Kantserov · Today 8:10 PM ET | -525at BetMGM | 8 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped89%needs 84% to break even | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsRoman Kantserov · Today 8:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 36% to break even | -22.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 shots on goalRoman Kantserov · Today 8:10 PM ET | -169at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 63% to break even | -25.1Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsRoman Kantserov · Today 8:10 PM ET | -106at BetRivers | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 51% to break even | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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