This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 68% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 68% to break even | 44%–95% | 12 points betterwon 80%, needs 68% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 68% to break even | 65%–98% | 22 points betterwon 90%, needs 68% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 68% to break even | 67%–95% | 19 points betterwon 87%, needs 68% |
| This season | 2 of 367%needs 68% to break even | 25%–92% | 1 points shortwon 67%, needs 68% |
| Last season | 44 of 6964%needs 68% to break even | 54%–73% | 4 points shortwon 64%, needs 68% |
Tonight CHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MTL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Goals in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goalsConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 assistsConnor Bedard |
| Every game |
| 46 of 7264%needs 68% to break even |
| 54%–73% |
| 4 points shortwon 64%, needs 68% |
| Date | Opponent | Goals | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| +195at BetMGM |
| 25 of 69· last season36%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -23.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 goalsConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | +1350at BetMGM | 3 of 69· last season4%needs 7% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 goalsConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | +6600at BetMGM | 2 of 69· last season3%needs 1% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +110at BetMGM |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even |
| -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 pointsConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | +230at BetRivers | 21 of 69· last season30%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | +190at BetRivers | 2 of 3· this season67%needs 34% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | +175at DraftKings | 24 of 69· last season35%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 shots on goalConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | -145at DraftKings | 46 of 69· last season67%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 shots on goalConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | +175at Fanatics | 29 of 69· last season42%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 shots on goalConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | +120at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | -200at BetMGM | 45 of 69· last season65%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 pointsConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | -278at BetOnline | 48 of 69· last season70%needs 74% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | +170at FanDuel | 25 of 69· last season36%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 power-play pointsConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | -250at BetMGM | 49 of 69· last season71%needs 71% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.9Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsConnor Bedard · Today 8:10 PM ET | -125at DraftKings | 39 of 69· last season57%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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