This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 29% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 29% to break even | 5%–56% | 9 points shortwon 20%, needs 29% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 29% to break even | 7%–46% | 9 points shortwon 20%, needs 29% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 29% to break even | 8%–41% | 9 points shortwon 20%, needs 29% |
| This season | 2 of 922%needs 29% to break even | 8%–50% | 7 points shortwon 22%, needs 29% |
| Last season | 24 of 7930%needs 29% to break even | 23%–39% | 1 points betterwon 30%, needs 29% |
| Every game | 26 of 8830%needs 29% to break even | 22%–38% | evenwon 30%, needs 29% |
Tonight CHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MTL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Anytime goal in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Anytime goal | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.